Apollo's Arrow — Idea 1/6
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Pandemics Follow Ancient, Recognizable Patterns
Nicholas Christakis argues that despite modern medicine and technology, the biological and social mechanics of a pandemic follow patterns as old as human history.
What stays constant across centuries:
- Initial denial and downplaying of a new pathogen's severity
- Uneven spread driven by social network structure, not just biology
- A predictable arc from acute crisis to a new, adapted social equilibrium
This historical framing is used throughout the book to contextualize COVID-19 as one instance of a much older, recurring biological and social phenomenon rather than an unprecedented novelty.
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